Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.045121 0.052722 0.061079 0.070934 0.082217 0.094714 0.109582
2025-02-16 0.031946 0.041455 0.052918 0.067679 0.086103 0.108253 0.136807
2025-02-23 0.023313 0.033275 0.046314 0.064467 0.088892 0.120399 0.163857
2025-03-02 0.017750 0.027635 0.041573 0.062374 0.092272 0.133264 0.193181
2025-03-09 0.014425 0.024288 0.039153 0.062741 0.098651 0.150543 0.230240
2025-03-16 0.011384 0.020660 0.035554 0.060589 0.100793 0.161764 0.259718
2025-03-23 0.010020 0.019415 0.035350 0.063491 0.110779 0.185465 0.310047
2025-03-30 0.008517 0.017596 0.033836 0.063912 0.116686 0.203300 0.352975
2025-04-06 0.007035 0.015487 0.031422 0.062334 0.118894 0.215208 0.387346
2025-04-13 0.005897 0.013797 0.029451 0.061180 0.121549 0.227931 0.424060
2025-04-20 0.005415 0.013353 0.029769 0.064301 0.132211 0.255361 0.488362
2025-04-27 0.004938 0.012817 0.029802 0.066835 0.141996 0.282070 0.553663
2025-05-04 0.004092 0.011278 0.027535 0.064481 0.142236 0.291724 0.589751
2025-05-11 0.003507 0.010234 0.026160 0.063787 0.145685 0.307729 0.639151
2025-05-18 0.002940 0.009099 0.024375 0.061912 0.146437 0.318563 0.679683
2025-05-25 0.002492 0.008168 0.022899 0.060493 0.147940 0.330954 0.724284
2025-06-01 0.002218 0.007657 0.022356 0.061165 0.154070 0.353262 0.790524
2025-06-08 0.001866 0.006825 0.020838 0.059221 0.154023 0.362639 0.831111
2025-06-15 0.001757 0.006720 0.021238 0.062151 0.165638 0.397924 0.928616
2025-06-22 0.001569 0.006308 0.020715 0.062609 0.171396 0.420933 1.001856
2025-06-29 0.001343 0.005702 0.019518 0.061083 0.172104 0.432741 1.051782
2025-07-06 0.001160 0.005198 0.018528 0.059962 0.173670 0.446595 1.107295
2025-07-13 0.001107 0.005168 0.018991 0.063033 0.186375 0.487363 1.226409